In November 2020, the United States will decide which party will hold a majority in Congress for the 117th Congress. Recent polls have shown that Democrats have the advantage in several races for the House of Representatives and may be likely to win the majority if the elections turn out as expected. This is largely due to the liberal leaning of some of the competitive battleground states.
Swing states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona — which were pivotal in the 2018 midterm elections when the Democrats won the majority — currently favor the Democratic party. Other states such as Nevada, Maine, Minnesota, and Iowa also appear to have a liberal leaning. The Democratic party is expected to hold onto an envelope of these states to gain the House majority.
However, the election is far from over, and the Democrats are still far from a lock for the majority. Despite seeming to have an advantage in several competitive states, polls are still subject to a wide margin of error and may not always accurately reflect the election results.
Additionally, states such as Texas, Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio are competitive toss-ups in the race and could swing the election either way. While there are more Republican leaning voters in these states, early voting indicates a record turnout amongst Biden supporters which could defeat the Republican majority and provide the Democrats with the edge they need to regain the majority.
The Democrats are likely to win the majority in the House of Representatives due to the liberal-leaning of several states. Yet, until the official election results are announced, the future majority of the House of Representatives will remain uncertain, and the Democrats will still have to face the significant challenge of winning toss-up states if they hope to retain the house majority.